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Bitcoin’s Coinbase Premium Turns Negative as RSI Hits April Lows, Signaling Potential Market Inflection

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Bitcoin markets are showing technical signals reminiscent of historical bottom formations as the Coinbase Premium Index dipped into negative territory while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reached its lowest reading since April. The Coinbase Premium Index, which tracks the price difference between Coinbase and other major exchanges, typically indicates institutional buying pressure when positive. Its current negative reading suggests reduced U.S. institutional demand relative to global markets.

Simultaneously, Bitcoin’s RSI has entered oversold territory at levels not seen since April’s market bottom. This technical indicator, which measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions, currently mirrors the pattern observed before previous recovery phases.

Market analysts note that while these metrics suggest near-term bearish sentiment, they also potentially mark a contrarian buying opportunity. Historical data indicates that when both the Coinbase Premium turns negative and RSI reaches extreme oversold levels, it often precedes gradual market recoveries. The current technical setup resembles previous market inflection points where institutional accumulation gradually returned following periods of price consolidation.

Traders are monitoring whether this combination of negative premium and oversold conditions will trigger the same recovery pattern witnessed in previous cycles, though market participants remain cautious amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties affecting digital asset valuations.

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