Prominent cryptocurrency figure and ex-CEO of BitMEX, Arthur Hayes, has issued a stark warning regarding Bitcoin’s near-term trajectory, attributing recent market declines to a significant contraction in U.S. dollar liquidity. In his latest market analysis, Hayes posits that Bitcoin could experience a corrective phase, potentially dropping to the lower $30,000 range, before initiating a substantial recovery.
According to Hayes, the primary driver behind this volatility stems from macroeconomic factors affecting global capital flows. He emphasizes that fluctuations in dollar liquidity directly impact cryptocurrency valuations, creating both short-term pressures and long-term opportunities for investors.
Despite anticipating temporary downward movement, Hayes maintains an optimistic outlook for Bitcoin’s annual performance. He projects that following the expected correction, the digital asset could surge to approximately $60,000 by year’s end, representing significant potential upside from current levels.
This analysis comes amid heightened market sensitivity to monetary policy developments and their effect on risk assets. Hayes’ commentary highlights the growing recognition among crypto market participants that traditional financial indicators increasingly influence digital asset valuations, underscoring the market’s maturation and integration with global economic systems.

